San Diego St
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 78.1288Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 905 H Portland State 53- 20 912 A UCLA ( 8- 0, 98.3) 10- 28 919 H J. Madison ( 7- 2, 88.7) 13- 26 926 A Toledo ( 6- 2, 83.4) 16- 41 1003 H Texas St. ( 4- 5, 87.7) 31- 29 1010 A Oregon St ( 5- 3, 85.1) 14- 66 1017 H Fresno St ( 5- 3, 87.6) 26- 23 1024 A Colorado St ( 3- 5, 78.0) 49- 56 1031 H Wash. St ( 1- 8, 74.8) 26- 20 1114 H Utah St ( 3- 5, 84.6) 1121 A Boise St ( 7- 1, 95.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
912 A UCLA 10-28 -18 -23 0.00
919 H J. Madison 13-26 -13 -7 -- -5.66
926 A Toledo 16-41 -25 -8 --- -6.56
1003 H Texas St. 31-29 2 -6 +++ 8.37
1010 A Oregon St 14-66 -52 -10 -- -4.88
1017 H Fresno St 26-23 3 -6 +++ 9.30
1024 A Colorado St 49-56 -7 -3 - -3.98
1031 H Wash. St 26-20 6 7 -0.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 926 A Toledo 16-41 -25 -8 --- -6.56 919 H J. Madison 13-26 -13 -7 -- -5.66 1010 A Oregon St 14-66 -52 -10 -- -4.88 1024 A Colorado St 49-56 -7 -3 - -3.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 H Texas St. 31-29 2 -6 +++ 8.37 1017 H Fresno St 26-23 3 -6 +++ 9.30 |
San Diego St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Boston Col | Boston Col | ||
| California | California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | California | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| NC State | NC State | NC State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va. Tech | Va. Tech | Va. Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Ea. Carolina | Ea. Carolina | Ea. Carolina | ||
| Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No. Texas | No. Texas | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | No. Texas | |
| Rice | San Diego St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| So. Florida | So. Florida | So. Florida | ||
| Temple | San Diego St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | ||
| UAB | UAB | UAB | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | UTSA | |
| Arizona | Arizona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Houston | |
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kansas St | |
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | We. Virginia | We. Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Maryland | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oregon | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Purdue | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Int | Florida Int | Florida Int | ||
| J'ville St | J'ville St | J'ville St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty | |
| La. Tech | La. Tech | La. Tech | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | Mid. Tenn. | Mid. Tenn. | ||
| N. Mexico St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Sam Houston | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| UTEP | San Diego St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| We. Kentucky | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Mass. | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Ball State | San Diego St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| Bowl'g Green | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Ce. Michigan | Ce. Michigan | Ce. Michigan | ||
| Ea. Michigan | San Diego St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| Kent St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | ||
| No. Illinois | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We. Michigan | We. Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | We. Michigan | |
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Boise St | |
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Hawai'i | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Nevada | |
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Jose St | San Diego St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Utah St | |
| Wyoming | Wyoming | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wyoming | |
| Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | ||
| Wash. St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App State | App State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | App State | |
| Arkansas St | Arkansas St | Arkansas St | ||
| Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | Coastal Car. | ||
| Georgia So. | Georgia So. | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Georgia So. | |
| Georgia St | Georgia St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Georgia St | |
| J. Madison | J. Madison | J. Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Marshall | |
| Old Dominion | San Diego St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| So. Miss | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| So. Alabama | So. Alabama | So. Alabama | ||
| Texas St. | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Troy | San Diego St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | San Diego St | |
| UL Monroe | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Missouri St | San Diego St | San Diego St |
PowerWise = 26
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A UCLA ( 8- 0, 98.3) 10-28 -1.61 31.63 3.20 1.02 -0.81
1 H J. Madison ( 7- 2, 88.7) 13-26 -11.23 22.01 -3.20 1.02 -7.35
1 A Toledo ( 6- 2, 83.4) 16-41 -16.53 16.71 3.20 1.02 -6.79
1 H Texas St. ( 4- 5, 87.7) 31-29 -12.21 21.03 -3.20 1.02 36.33
1 A Oregon St ( 5- 3, 85.1) 14-66 -14.85 18.39 3.20 1.02 -5.93
1 H Fresno St ( 5- 3, 87.6) 26-23 -12.28 20.96 -3.20 1.02 36.19
1 A Colorado St ( 3- 5, 78.0) 49-56 -21.95 11.29 3.20 1.02 -9.55
1 H Wash. St ( 1- 8, 74.8) 26-20 -25.10 8.14 -3.20 1.02 10.07
------
52.17
|
winning pts = 82.5945 losing points = -30.4235
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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